Would You Have Fired Warren Buffett?
"No matter how great the talent or efforts, some things take time. You can't produce a baby in one month by getting nine women pregnant." — Warren Buffett
One of the most interesting trends in the stock market in recent years has been the strong outperformance of “growth” stocks versus “value” stocks.
Growth stocks have been outperforming value stocks for much of the last decade, and the discrepancy has accelerated over the last 18 months. To provide some historical perspective, at the start of October the difference between growth and value had reached the third highest level since 1990.1
Some of you may remember the two previous times that the difference was this large. The first time was the peak of the “tech bubble” in 2000 and the second time was the market peak before the Great Recession in 2007.
Now, we’re not calling for a market meltdown. However, we do think it’s important to understand what is happening because it is a relatively rare occurrence, and it has had an impact for investors.
Why is this important? As you may know, we use “evidence-based” investment strategies. These strategies use “factors” to seek higher performance levels over time. Eugene Fama famously won a Nobel Prize in 2013 for his work in identifying some of these factors. One of the most well-known was the “value” factor.